Thursday, March 13, 2008

FOREX ANALYSIS: How to Predict the Forex?

The object of Forex analysis, is to try and predict which way the market is likely to move. If you get your predictions right, you will make a profit, but if you get them wrong and you will lose your money. There are two types of Forex analysis: Fundamental Analysis and Technical Analysis.

Fundamental analysis involves taking into account the social, economic and political forces that influence the value of a particular country's currency. If the economy of the country is strong, and the country has a stable government, then the value of that country's currency can be expected to rise against the currencies of countries with weaker economies.

The most extreme example of a country with a weak (collapsed) economy (at the time of writing - early 2008) is Zimbabwe. The poor state of Zimbabwe's economy is largely due to horrendous government, with the theft of farm land and plundering of Zimbabwe's currency reserves by corrupt government officials. The rate of inflation in Zimbabwe is currently over 1,000 percent, so that the currency loses over 90 percent of its value every year. The value of Zimbabwe's currency is so low, that its value is now literally worth less than the paper it is printed on.

Even in stable healthy economies however, the actions of in particular, reserve banks (e.g. Federal Reserve in the U.S, Bank Of England in the UK etc.) can influence the value of the currency.

Technical analysis involves examining currency prices over a period of time to try and identify trends and patterns. For example, if the value of a particular currency has been steadily increasing over a period of several weeks, then it is likely that the trend will continue in the future, at least in the short term. The trend is the most important aspect of technical analysis. If you can correctly identify a trend, and trade in the same direction you are likely to make profitable trades. Also, the earlier you identify a trend, the more chance you have of making profitable trades.

Ideally, you need to employ both fundamental and technical analysis in your Forex trading.

For example, suppose you were charting the value of the UK pound (GBP) against the U.S. dollar in October - November 2007, using technical analysis only. You would have noticed that for several consecutive days, the GBP was increasing against the USD by around 100 pips every day. So, on November 8, 2007 (the first Thursday in November), you discover the Forex quote: GBP/USD = 2.1104/2.1109. You figure, that by the end of the trading day this should have increased to around: GBP/USD = 2.1204/2.1209. So you buy one standard lot at a rate of 1 GBP = 2.1109 USD, = 47373 GBP. You expect the GBP to rise by 100 pips, so you can sell your 47373 GBP for 2.1204 USD each = $100,450 and earn a nice $450 profit on the day's trading.

You check the exchange rate a few hours later and you discover that it has moved against you, and the Forex quote: = 2.0906/2.0911. You decide to cut your losses, and sell your 47373 GBP for 2.0906 USD each = $99,294. So instead of making $450 profit, you make a loss of $100,000 - $99,294 = $706. So what happened? The Bank of England sets the UK base interest rate on the first Thursday of every month. On Thursday November 8, 2007, The Bank of England was expected to increase the UK base interest rate, and hence lower the UK inflation rate and increase the value of the GBP. However, the Bank of England unexpectedly left the UK interest rate on hold, which caused the GBP to fall in value instead.

* Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Chen_Petersen

Forex Trading: How to Earn a Living With Forex Trading?

If you're still working at a 9 to 5 job, feeling that there's no end of working for people and no freedom to do what you want to do, why not think of something new which can give you all this? Forex Trading is one of the ways that can help you and your family.

For your information, Forex Trading is the LARGEST market in the world. Yes! You read it right, it's larger than stocks, future, options combined together. Forex Trading have over USD1.3 trillion per day and the amount is increasing now and then.

Forex Trading or currency trading or foreign exchange (short form for forex) simply means buying or selling a pair of currency. In forex trading, we buy or sell in a pair of currencies. For example, in EUR/USD pair, if you're buying this pair, you're buying EURO while selling USD and the other way around.
The best thing about forex trading is that you earn no matter the market is up or down provided you are in the same side of the market movement.

You might be asking, is it easy to trade forex? Well, it's simple yet not easy. However, if you have certain knowledge about it, you will have a handsome profit. Warren Buffet gaining big profit in forex!

If you've been to bank or watch the business time tv news, you'll notice that there are figures like 1.2345 up or down. That's the price of currency pair. One move of the last digit (we call it 'pip') is either approximately $1 or $10. Everyday the average of the price move is around 70 to 130 pips. That could be your profit of $70 to $130 or $700 to $1300 per day!

See the potential of forex trading earning for a living for you? Now, go to www.google.com and enter 'forex trading demo' and get a forex trading demo to have a look at how the forex trading looks like. Play around with the platform and see what happens. Don't worry, your account is just demo and the money is not real money also.

For real forex trading, all you need is just $200 to $300 to get started. However, before you trade forex with your real money, learn what you need to know first, then only trade with your real money or else you'll regret. Over 90% of the trader lose their money of the first trading.

by Elisha Gan
Get free forex signals at: http://freeforexsignals.blogspot.com

Online Forex Trading Can Make You Rich, But Watch Out!

Foreign currency exchange trading (Forex Trading) is creating a lot of buzz in investment circles, because it's making many people very wealthy. Unlike the New York Stock Exchange, the forex trading market is open twenty-four hours a day. You can literally trade from sun up to sun down in the forex market.

The reason why so many people want to learn how to trade forex is because they hear stories about average folks, who have become forex traders, putting some money into a few good trades and making themselves a bundle - we're talking thousands of dollars.

Is this kind of success in currency trading possible for you?

Yes, and no.

Yes, it is absolutely possible for you to learn how to analyze the forex market and pick winning trades. However, this success will not come overnight and will not come without some study and practice on your part.

Was that a buzz kill?

I hope not. It's just a little cold water being splashed in your face. Look, online forex trading can be a little like gambling in Vegas. You've got your cash on hand, you're sitting there at your computer looking at all the forex charts and currencies: dollar, yen, euro, etc.

You're just itching to make some trades and even though you're still green under the gills, you're ready to jump in on that hot tip you got from your fellow forex trading buddy. The rent money's due and you've got bills to pay, but you just know that if you make this one trade - you'll make big bank!

Okay, this is where the excited new forex traders get happy, go all in and then . . . lose lots of money they can't afford.

That's right. While experienced forex traders are making nice profits on that hot tip, the newbies are getting wiped out clean, because they really don't know what they're doing and are betting their hard earned cash based on pure emotions. The first thing you need to learn about trading currencies is that you should NEVER make a trade like a gambler sitting at a roulette table letting it all ride on red.

The best forex traders are the ones that know how to keep their cool.

The best forex traders also learn how to read the forex news and analyze what trades they think are best given certain market conditions. Another golden tip is that you should never invest money that you need to keep a roof over your head, food in the fridge and the lights on at home. People who do this are gamblers and we already know that gamblers lose most of the time.

Successful forex traders have learned to risk no more than 2-3% of their total forex trading account. So, while they may make thousands, these investors have learned how to build on their success. When you have a winning trade, you take that money and invest it again and again.

To be safe, while you are learning how to trade in the forex market, you shouldn't use real money period. You can open a demo forex trading account and make your trades without risking a cent. This way, when you lose, you can study that mistake and try to correct it. While all investors, even successful ones, lose money, you'll be learning how to minimize your losses and increase your winning trades.

A good online forex trading system will show you the ropes and teach you how to look at trends and study market movement. You'll also learn how to put in a strategic stop loss to keep you from losing too much money when the forex market goes against you.

When the time is right, and you are confident you can trade successfully (with a cool head) using real money, then jump in and go for the gusto!

Forex Trading Guide - Tips & Tricks To Success

Looking for tips and tricks to succeed on the Forex market? They say that knowledge and wisdom come from experience and I have to generally agree with this statement. As such, I have gleaned a great deal of this wisdom from those that have gone before me in the Forex market. As a result of gleaning this Forex trading wisdom I have compiled a list of tips and tricks to succeed on the Forex market.

  1. FOREX TRADING TIP In the Forex market there will always be bullish and bearish market patterns. It is vital that you find the dominant trends of forex. Never fight the trend. Remember the old adage, "The trend is your friend."
  2. FOREX TRADING TIP Buy the rumor and sell the news. This is how to beat the Big money which counts on the small forex trader to be naïve and impulsive.
  3. FOREX TRADING TIP If a currency is overbought it is time to get out immediately. Do not fight this as it is almost always a losing position.
  4. FOREX TRADING TIP If you find yourself wishing, you will eventually find yourself losing. If you do not have a reason to be in a move, then get out.
  5. FOREX TRADING TIP If you are having intense relationship stress or are physically sick wait until a better time to trade in the forex market, as emotionally taxing issues WILL have an impact on your trading.
  6. FOREX TRADING TIP If you feel the need to get in a move because it is a "golden opportunity that rarely comes along" you are better off not rushing into it. The truth is that there are always going to be great opportunities available. Be patient.

These are just a few but tried and true tips and tricks for gaining an advantage on the Forex market and after all, we can all use an advantage.

* Article Source: Cal Relerd, http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Cal_Relerd

FOREX TRADING- How To Really Start Making Money

If you've been checking out ways to get started in investing, chances are you've heard about the foreign exchange market, or FOREX trading. If you're unfamiliar with this type of trading- forex trading, it can all seem a bit too hard, but in fact the hardest part is getting started. Keep reading to find out the basics of FOREX trading and what you need to do to get involved.

In the past, foreign exchange (forex) was the territory of large players, such as multi-national corporations and national banks. However in the 1980s the rules were changed, giving smaller investors the change to participate using margin accounts. The popularity of FOREX trading has increased mainly because of these margin accounts, as people can participate with much smaller amounts of money. Basically, having a 100:1 margin account means that you can control $100,000 using only $1,000 of your own money.

Having said that, FOREX trading isn't always simple, and it's very important to make sure you educate yourself in order to make good investment decisions. Once you start, the trading process itself is simple, but there are risks involved. Learning about FOREX will help you to be profitable and is a good place for any beginner to start.

You will need to open a brokerage account. Generally, brokers are associated with a large financial institution such as a bank, and so can be considered reputable. They have to be registered as a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM), which is administered by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), to help protect the consumer from abusive trade practices and fraud.

Once you've filled out the necessary forms and provided ID, you can open your FOREX account. Part of the form will be a margin agreement. What this does is give the broker the right to interfere with any trade it feels has become too risky. This is reasonable, as most of the money used for trading will actually belong to the broker, and they need to be able to protect their interests.

Now you have your account, it's time to put some funds in there and begin trading. The size of your account is your choice - some brokers will allow you to have a mini account of $250, while others prefer a minimum of between $1000 and $2500. The broker will also determine how much leverage you're entitled to. So one client may be able to control $100,000 with his $1000, while another may only be able to control $80,000. The higher your level of leverage, the more money you have available for trading.

It's never a good idea to start out by putting all your money into the market in your first trade. It's vital to get some practice first, usually by paper trading. This involves working out transactions and pretending to trade them, without actually putting the money into the market. Paper trading is a great way to learn how the market works, and become familiar with the software tools your FOREX broker will provide to you. Most online brokers will allow you free paper trades for a period of time, so look for the ability to trade a demo account if you're choosing an online broker. If you find that your paper trading results in losses, you may want to learn some more before trading with real money.

Your FOREX broker will have their own software for you to use, but there are some tools that are common to all brokers. These include real time quotes, technical analysis and charges, news feeds and profit and loss analysis, just to name a few. You will want to access this sort of information, so make sure you can get it from your broker's site, or else consider using another broker. From your end, you will need a fairly modern computer, a good, fast Internet connection, and an up to date operating system. You should be able to access your broker account from any computer, which can be handy if you're traveling. Check that the broker can also be contacted by phone for trades, just in case you're without internet access at any stage.

One of the advantages of FOREX Trading is that trades don't incur brokerage fees, which is different to trading stocks. Brokers make their money based on the spread, which is the difference between bid and ask prices.

Forex Trading: 3 Key Tips For Huge Forex Profits

Here we are going to look at the 3 key points you must consider if you wish to achieve forex trading success. Fail in any of these areas of forex trading and you will lose.

1. Get the Right Forex Trading Education

To make money at forex trading you don't need to work particularly hard - but you do need to get the right knowledge and learn forex trading. Most forex traders don't and fall victim to common forex trading myths. Here is a list of these common forex trading myths, believe any of them and you are guaranteed to lose.

- You can make money with forex day trading

- You can predict forex prices in advance

- You should buy low and sell high to make money

- You can trade off news stories

- You need a complicated forex trading strategy to win

- You can follow a simulated system from a vendor and make money

- Forex trading is easy

Believe any of the above and you can say goodbye to your equity.

If you want to get the right forex education and knowledge you need to spend some time learning the basics of trading forex and developing a strategy you understand, because this leads onto the next vital ingredient for currency trading success:

2. Confidence

Most novice forex traders simply think they can make money following someone else or trading news stories. They have no idea how and why the markets move and when they hit a few losses, they have no confidence in what they're doing and that's the end of their forex career and their equity.

Now let's look at the vital ingredient all traders need to succeed that flows from confidence:

3. Discipline

If you don't have confidence in what you are doing, then you will never have the discipline to sit through a period of losses and wait for winning trades to return.

One of the biggest myths of forex trading is that you can earn a consistent living and a regular monthly income - its rubbish you can't!

Even the best traders will spend weeks or months in periods of drawdown and you will too. Sure, you can make huge gains over the longer term - but they do not spread evenly across the year.

If you don't have the discipline to take short term periods of drawdown and still keep trading, you don't have a forex trading method at all.

If you want to win at forex trading the good news is:

If you work smart, you can learn to trade in just a few weeks.

If you avoid the myths and get the forex trading knowledge, you will be confident in what you are doing. From this understanding and confidence you will achieve discipline. You need the discipline to stay with your forex trading method through short term losses and stay with your system to achieve longer term success.

95% of traders lose and this group simply do not understand that to make big profits, you need to have a simple robust trading system; you have confidence in and the discipline to follow it.

If you understand the above you will be able to put the 3 building blocks of forex trading together and achieve forex trading success - it really is that simple.

Forex Trading: How To Make Money Fast With Forex Trading?

So you want to make money fast? Well the good news is the method enclosed gives anyone the potential to not only make a living but build wealth and the even better news is - you don't need much money to get started and its simple - ANYONE can do it.

So what is the method for making money fast?

It is becoming a currency - forex (foreign exchange) trader from home.

Many people think forex trading is complicated or requires a lot of money neither is true. Anyone can learn forex trading, it's a specifically learned skill and today online, you can get started with just a few hundred dollars.

So how can you let alone making a living, make money fast on a few hundred dollars?

The answer is leverage.

Once you open an account online with a forex broker, they will let you trade 200 times your deposit. For example, put down $500.00 and they will let you trade $100,000 (200 x 500). Of course leverage can work for or against you - but if you cut your losses quickly and run your profits, you can start making a living from forex trading and build wealth over time.

Consider these other advantages to:

- You can learn forex trading in a few weeks

- You only need a computer and an internet connection

- You need just 30 minutes a day for trading forex online

- You can take holidays when you wish

- There are always opportunities as one currency rises another must fall

- Currencies are volatile and you can seek profits every day.

If you want to learn forex trading, the best way to trade is simply to study price action on a chart and take advantage of repetitive chart patterns, which can give you high odds set ups to trade. You won't win every trade but you will win more than you lose and build profits and with leverage working for you, you can make money fast with forex trading.

Why do chart patterns repeat?

Quite simply because human nature is constant and this means what has happened in the past, happens again and again.

If you learn to trade with forex charts you are not concerned with why prices move, you are simply going to take advantage of these moves when they do.

Forex trading is one of the few ways for trader's to start with small stakes, earn a living and even build wealth quickly. If you trade with discipline and learn the right knowledge you can soon be trading confidently and profitably, in the world's most exciting business.

If you have never considered making money fast by being a currency - forex trader from home - take a closer look at it and you may be glad you did.

* Article Source: Kelly Price, http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Kelly_Price